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El marco Zen Horizon que disecciona la calidad del negocio, los fosos defensivos y el valor intrínseco de la IA, la tecnología y la renta variable global, con una lectura clara del margen de seguridad.
1211 informes15 temas1159 activos
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41/100
57Buffett
Brink's: A 9.1% Owner-Earnings Yield and 14 Straight Quarters of AMS/DRS Growth Meet a $7.3 Billion Pro-Forma Net-Debt Bet on NCR Atleos
The Brink's Company is a global route-density cash-logistics operator shifting toward outsourced ATM management (AMS) and retail cash automation (DRS) while preparing to acquire NCR Atleos for $30 in cash plus 0.1574 Brink's shares per Atleos share. Q2 2026 revenue rose 7% to $1.392 billion with adjusted EBITDA up 11% to an 18.5% margin and trailing FCF of $468 million, yet the deal lifts mechanical pro-forma net debt to roughly $7.31 billion and about 3.4× leverage before the $200 million synergy target is proven. Rating Watch: fast-growing AMS/DRS and cheap cash earnings are offset by an integration bet, so the preferred pre-close entry is $82–88 against a $106.56 base price.
45/100
57Buffett
Compass Group: A Fifth Year of 4–5% Net-New Business and 96% Retention Make the Compounding Real, but at $31.10 a 5.1% Owner-Earnings Yield and 1.7x Leverage Leave No Conservative-Case Margin of Safety
Compass Group is the global scale leader in contract food services, feeding employees, patients, students and spectators at client-owned sites, with about two-thirds of revenue from North America and 86% of FY2025 revenue from food rather than support services. FY2025 underlying revenue was $46.1bn with 8.7% organic growth and a 7.2% margin, and H1 FY2026 held 7.2% organic growth (3.8% net new, 2.7% pricing, 0.7% volume) while margin rose to 7.4%, but $2.3bn of first-half M&A lifted net debt to $8.6bn, or 1.7 times EBITDA, above the 1.0–1.5 times target, and ROCE slipped from 19.0% to 18.2%. Rating Hold: at $31.10 the shares sit inside the $31–34 base-case value but above the $27–29 conservative value, at roughly 19.6 times owner earnings, so existing holders are paid to stay while new buyers should wait for $22 or below.
44/100
76Buffett
Zhejiang Dingli: H1 Revenue Grew 24.9% and Its 20.6% EU Duty Beats Rivals at 35–49%, but Cash Conversion Fell to 0.32x and CNY 53.87 Sits 28% Above the CNY 42 Conservative Value Ahead of Final U.S. Duty Rulings
Zhejiang Dingli is an export-led aerial-work-platform manufacturer selling scissors, telescopic and articulating booms and vertical-mast machines mainly to rental fleets, with 82% of 2025 platform revenue earned overseas and gross margin held around one-third of sales. H1 2026 revenue rose 24.9% to CNY 5.414bn while Haulotte described the global market as its weakest since 2020, yet attributable profit fell 6.0%, operating cash flow covered only 0.32x of profit, and U.S. reviews preliminarily point to 35.79% antidumping and 36.49% countervailing rates against the current 18.27% and 33.10% deposits. Rating Watch: at CNY 53.87 the stock sits 28% above the CNY 42 conservative value and inside the CNY 50–68 acceptable-hold zone, with the ideal buy zone at CNY 30–34.
41/100
68Buffett
Valmont: A 33.9% Utility Surge and 0.93x Leverage Justify the Rerating, but $472.43 Still Underwrites the 2029 Margin Plan With No Conservative-Case Margin of Safety
Valmont Industries is a steel-intensive supplier of engineered structures to electric utilities, road, lighting and telecom customers, paired with the Valley center-pivot irrigation franchise; Infrastructure was roughly 78% of Q2 2026 sales and Agriculture roughly 22%. North America Utility grew 33.9% in Q2 to $456.7 million while Agriculture fell 15.8% to $243.7 million, covenant leverage sits at 0.93 times, and the June 2026 Investor Day targets of $5.4 billion of sales, a 17% operating margin and $35 of EPS by 2029 imply roughly a 28% incremental operating margin. Rating Hold: at $472.43, about 20.7 times the midpoint of 2026 EPS guidance, the stock sits inside the $460–620 acceptable-hold zone with no conservative-case margin of safety; the ideal buy zone is $315–330.
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Todos los análisis
- The Buffett Quality Screen, First Edition: 1,790 Companies, Six Lenses, and the 16 That Survive Both of Our Boards 6 de agosto de 2026
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Temas destacados
Los 15 temas
La cadena de suministro global de defensa
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Cáncer · Enfermedades raras · Fronteras de difícil tratamiento
108 activosTerapias dirigidas / inmunoterapia / terapia celular / terapia génica / ácidos nucleicos / radiofármacos: un mapa de las terapias de frontera que atacan enfermedades de alta necesidad médica no cubierta, con los actores globales y chinos que las desarrollan
Campeones de nicho en todos los sectores
90 activosEmpresas que dominan un segmento estrecho, ocupan el primer puesto o entran en el top tres mundial y conservan un poder de fijación de precios real: campeones de nicho en eslabones críticos de la cadena. El enfoque parte de los "campeones ocultos" de Hermann Simon, pero flexibiliza sus umbrales de tamaño y discreción (sin tope de tamaño ni exigencia de mantener un perfil bajo). Lo que cuenta es cuán estrecho es el segmento y cuán arraigada está la posición, desplegados a lo largo de ocho dominios funcionales.
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