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45/100
57Buffett
Compass Group: A Fifth Year of 4–5% Net-New Business and 96% Retention Make the Compounding Real, but at $31.10 a 5.1% Owner-Earnings Yield and 1.7x Leverage Leave No Conservative-Case Margin of Safety
Compass Group is the global scale leader in contract food services, feeding employees, patients, students and spectators at client-owned sites, with about two-thirds of revenue from North America and 86% of FY2025 revenue from food rather than support services. FY2025 underlying revenue was $46.1bn with 8.7% organic growth and a 7.2% margin, and H1 FY2026 held 7.2% organic growth (3.8% net new, 2.7% pricing, 0.7% volume) while margin rose to 7.4%, but $2.3bn of first-half M&A lifted net debt to $8.6bn, or 1.7 times EBITDA, above the 1.0–1.5 times target, and ROCE slipped from 19.0% to 18.2%. Rating Hold: at $31.10 the shares sit inside the $31–34 base-case value but above the $27–29 conservative value, at roughly 19.6 times owner earnings, so existing holders are paid to stay while new buyers should wait for $22 or below.
44/100
76Buffett
Zhejiang Dingli: H1 Revenue Grew 24.9% and Its 20.6% EU Duty Beats Rivals at 35–49%, but Cash Conversion Fell to 0.32x and CNY 53.87 Sits 28% Above the CNY 42 Conservative Value Ahead of Final U.S. Duty Rulings
Zhejiang Dingli is an export-led aerial-work-platform manufacturer selling scissors, telescopic and articulating booms and vertical-mast machines mainly to rental fleets, with 82% of 2025 platform revenue earned overseas and gross margin held around one-third of sales. H1 2026 revenue rose 24.9% to CNY 5.414bn while Haulotte described the global market as its weakest since 2020, yet attributable profit fell 6.0%, operating cash flow covered only 0.32x of profit, and U.S. reviews preliminarily point to 35.79% antidumping and 36.49% countervailing rates against the current 18.27% and 33.10% deposits. Rating Watch: at CNY 53.87 the stock sits 28% above the CNY 42 conservative value and inside the CNY 50–68 acceptable-hold zone, with the ideal buy zone at CNY 30–34.
41/100
68Buffett
Valmont: A 33.9% Utility Surge and 0.93x Leverage Justify the Rerating, but $472.43 Still Underwrites the 2029 Margin Plan With No Conservative-Case Margin of Safety
Valmont Industries is a steel-intensive supplier of engineered structures to electric utilities, road, lighting and telecom customers, paired with the Valley center-pivot irrigation franchise; Infrastructure was roughly 78% of Q2 2026 sales and Agriculture roughly 22%. North America Utility grew 33.9% in Q2 to $456.7 million while Agriculture fell 15.8% to $243.7 million, covenant leverage sits at 0.93 times, and the June 2026 Investor Day targets of $5.4 billion of sales, a 17% operating margin and $35 of EPS by 2029 imply roughly a 28% incremental operating margin. Rating Hold: at $472.43, about 20.7 times the midpoint of 2026 EPS guidance, the stock sits inside the $460–620 acceptable-hold zone with no conservative-case margin of safety; the ideal buy zone is $315–330.
41/100
70Buffett
Dahua: 10% H1 Growth and a 43% Gross Margin Are Real, but CNY 15.72 Sits Above Conservative Value While FCC Component Rules and a CNY 8.568bn Inventory Build Leave No Margin of Safety
Zhejiang Dahua Technology is the world's No. 2 video-surveillance supplier, a video-centric smart-IoT vendor earning roughly half of its revenue overseas; smart-IoT products and solutions brought in CNY 26.409bn, 80.65% of 2025 revenue, while software was only about 5.6% of sales. H1 2026 revenue rose 10.03% to CNY 16.704bn with gross margin at 43.06% and adjusted profit up 8.26%, yet operating cash flow swung to negative CNY 1.107bn as inventory rose 40.68% to CNY 8.568bn, and FCC 26-50 extends U.S. restrictions to logic-bearing components from October 13, 2026. Rating Hold: at CNY 15.72, around 17.9 times trailing adjusted earnings and above the CNY 14.2 conservative value, the price lacks a margin of safety; the ideal buy zone is CNY 10.6–11.3.
Insights
Todos os insights
- The Buffett Quality Screen, First Edition: 1,790 Companies, Six Lenses, and the 16 That Survive Both of Our Boards 6 de agosto de 2026
- Cheap With a Grievance, or Cheap for a Reason? A Value-Trap Test From 1,013 Scorecards 6 de agosto de 2026
- The Mention Map, July 2026: Four Gravity Centers, Four Holes 26 de julho de 2026
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Temas em destaque
Todos os 15 temas
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