Industrias
Software & Internet
Todos los análisis de Software & Internet — 39 análisis.
63/100
46Buffett
Palantir Technologies Inc.: 93% Growth and a 47% GAAP Operating Margin, but $174.33 Already Equals the $172 Optimistic DCF Value
Palantir Technologies builds data-integration and AI decision platforms for Western governments and large commercial enterprises, funded by about $9.2 billion of liquidity and essentially no conventional debt. The gap between an accelerating business and an already-optimistic price is the whole case: Q2 2026 revenue grew 93% to $1.935 billion at a 47% GAAP operating margin, with U.S. commercial revenue up 149% and U.S. commercial remaining deal value up 124% to $6.238 billion, yet the fully diluted $447.8 billion equity value works out to roughly 149x trailing earnings, 133x conventional free cash flow and 178x SBC-adjusted owner earnings. Rating Watch: $174.33 sits outside all three modelled bands, above the $94-126 acceptable-hold range but below the $190-215 clearly-overvalued line, and it already equals the roughly $172 optimistic DCF value, so the margin of safety is none and the ideal buy range is $33-41.
53/100
95Buffett
Manhattan Associates: 26% Cloud Growth Sits Inside 9.3% Total Revenue Growth, Existing Customers Supplied 75% of Q2 New Cloud Contract Value, and 40x SBC-Adjusted Owner Earnings Leaves No Margin of Safety
Manhattan Associates sells cloud-native supply-chain execution software for warehouses, orders and transportation, with Q2 2026 revenue of USD 297.8 million and remaining performance obligations of USD 2.47 billion. The widely quoted 26% cloud-subscription growth sits inside a company growing 9.3% overall, where services are still 44.7% of revenue, existing customers supplied 75% of Q2 new cloud contract value, and stock compensation near 10% of revenue separates adjusted EPS from shareholder economics. Rating Hold: a genuinely high-quality franchise whose USD 197.39 price sits inside the USD 170 to USD 215 fair band and roughly 40 times SBC-adjusted owner earnings, leaving no margin of safety.
51/100
64Buffett
Salesforce: Agentforce ARR Grew 205% to 1.2 Billion Dollars, but Growth Excluding Informatica Was 8.75% and 184.02 Dollars Leaves No Margin of Safety
Salesforce is the largest CRM vendor, monetizing customer workflows through subscriptions while shifting toward AI consumption, data services and outcome-based pricing. Agentforce ARR reached 1.2 billion dollars and grew 205%, but fiscal Q1 growth excluding Informatica was only 8.75% and owner earnings stay flat near 10.9 billion dollars. Rating Hold: a dominant franchise at an adequate price, with seat cannibalization unresolved because Salesforce does not disclose net seats.
65/100
85Buffett
Alphabet: Search and Cloud Are Both Accelerating, but a 200 Billion Dollar Build Has Turned Free Cash Flow Negative and 333.68 Dollars Already Prices In the Base Case
Alphabet is a global internet platform whose high-intent Search advertising funds YouTube, Google Cloud and a frontier AI infrastructure build; FY2025 revenue was 402.8 billion USD. Second-quarter 2026 revenue grew 24% to 119.8 billion USD and Cloud grew 82% to 24.8 billion USD at a 35.6% operating margin on a 514 billion USD backlog, yet capital expenditure of 44.9 billion USD exceeded operating cash flow and produced negative free cash flow of 5.9 billion USD, with FY2026 guidance raised to 195 to 205 billion USD. Rating Hold: on roughly 130 billion USD of estimated owner earnings the shares trade near 31 times rather than the reported 16.8 times, so 333.68 USD sits at the 335 USD base intrinsic value with no conservative margin of safety.
50/100
Procore Technologies: Operating Leverage Finally Shows, but a 16%-of-Revenue Stock-Compensation Bill Leaves 48.82 USD Fairly Priced Rather Than Cheap
Procore is the leading construction-management SaaS platform, pricing subscriptions by product mix and annual construction volume rather than by seat. Q2 2026 revenue rose 15.8% to 375.2 million USD with a 21.5% non-GAAP operating margin, yet stock compensation at 16.1% of revenue holds GAAP operating margin at just 1.2%. Rating Hold: real operating leverage arriving at a fair price, with the ideal buy band at 34–36 USD.
67/100
91Buffett
Microsoft: Azure Demand Is Real and the Moat Is Intact, but 393 USD Already Prices a Clean Conversion of the 190 Billion USD Capex Wave
Microsoft is a cash-rich enterprise software and cloud platform whose profit pool sits in Productivity and Intelligent Cloud, and it is now funding an unprecedented AI infrastructure build. Fiscal 2025 produced 281.7 billion USD of revenue and 136.2 billion USD of operating cash flow, yet calendar-2026 capex is guided at roughly 190 billion USD and trailing free cash flow falls from 72.9 billion to 41.7 billion USD once finance leases are counted. Rating Hold: the moat and the Azure demand are real, but 393 USD already assumes that capex wave converts cleanly into owner earnings.
52/100
65Buffett
Oracle Corporation
Oracle is an enterprise software and cloud infrastructure vendor whose database and applications cash engine is now funding a massive AI data-center build-out. Fiscal 2026 revenue reached 67.4 billion USD and remaining performance obligations hit 638 billion USD, but capex of 55.7 billion USD drove free cash flow to negative 23.7 billion USD, and S&P cut the credit rating to BBB- in July. Rating Hold: the 34% fall from the previous report's 181 USD reference point has absorbed much of the financing anxiety, but at 119.90 USD there is still no meaningful margin of safety for new money.
61/100
Figma: The Platform Role Is Real, but Dilution and the Last Unlock Leave No Margin of Safety
Figma is a browser-native collaborative design platform that monetizes Full, Dev, and Collab seats across Professional, Organization, and Enterprise plans, with governance add-ons and, since March 2026, paid AI credits layered on top. Q1 2026 revenue rose 46% to $333.4 million and net dollar retention reached 139%, yet GAAP gross margin fell to 79% from 91% a year earlier as AI hosting costs jumped, and roughly $1.96 billion of unrecognized stock-based compensation still sits on the books. Rating Watch: the platform role looks more durable than the market's AI-obsolescence narrative implies, but dilution, margin pressure, and a final 77.7 million-share lock-up release leave no margin of safety at $22.94.
49/100
85Buffett
Bentley Systems: Durable Infrastructure Compounder, Thin Margin of Safety
Bentley Systems is a specialized infrastructure-engineering software vendor whose economic engine is a recurring estate embedded in civil, utility, and owner-operator workflows, with $1.495 billion ARR, 93% recurring revenue, 99% account retention, and 109% net retention. Full-year 2025 revenue rose 11.0% to $1.502 billion and free cash flow reached $520.2 million, yet a dual-class structure leaves the Bentley Control Group with about 62.8% of voting power and the $30 price sits roughly at conservative fair value. Rating Hold: a high-quality, sticky compounder whose cash conversion the headline P/E understates, but founder control and a thin margin of safety make a fresh buy more attractive below $25.
48/100
Asana: barata en apariencia, sin validación estratégica
Asana es una SaaS de gestión del trabajo de mediana capitalización, basada en puestos, que ahora superpone IA de consumo a un modelo land-and-expand en maduración, aunque casi todos sus 790.8 millones de USD de ingresos en FY2026 siguen ligados a la plataforma principal. La tesis de 2026 enfrenta dos lecturas claras: los márgenes giraron hasta un beneficio operativo no GAAP de 56.7 millones de USD en FY2026 y los productos de IA ya alcanzaron el 17% del ARR neto nuevo en Q1 FY2027, pero el crecimiento de ingresos se desaceleró a un dígito alto y la dirección aún señala que PLG resta alrededor de 2 puntos. Calificación Vigilar: la acción parece barata a cerca de 1.5x EV/ingresos futuros, pero necesita pruebas más firmes de que la IA puede compensar la madurez del crecimiento por puestos antes de que se cierre el descuento.
51/100
JFrog: cadena de suministro de software, cotizada para el éxito
JFrog comercializa una plataforma de cadena de suministro de software construida en torno a la gestión de artefactos de Artifactory, con la nube ya en el 51% de los ingresos y capas de seguridad y gobernanza de modelos de IA por encima. Sus ingresos de 2025 fueron de 531.8 millones de dólares, un 24% más, y el primer trimestre de 2026 creció un 26% con una retención neta de ingresos del 120%, pero la guía para el conjunto de 2026, de 628 a 632 millones de dólares, implica solo cerca de un 18.5% de crecimiento, y una compensación basada en acciones de 156.7 millones de dólares supera el flujo de caja libre, de modo que las ganancias del propietario quedan por detrás de la caja titular. A un múltiplo aproximado de 15.4x EV/ventas frente al 4.7x de GitLab, el precio ya descuenta gran parte del éxito futuro. Calificación Mantener: la nube y la seguridad son motores reales de un segundo crecimiento, pero a 78.48 dólares la acción ya descuenta la mayor parte de ese éxito sin margen de seguridad.
53/100
monday.com: un Work OS rentable, cotizado como si estuviera roto
monday.com es un proveedor de SaaS tipo Work OS de bajo código cuyos clientes construyen flujos operativos de trabajo en gestión de proyectos, CRM, servicio y desarrollo, y que ahora pasa de un modelo de precios por puesto a uno de puestos más créditos de IA. El nudo entre alcistas y bajistas es la durabilidad de la monetización: en el primer trimestre de 2026 los ingresos crecieron 24% hasta 351.3 millones de dólares, con un margen bruto del 89% y 102.8 millones de dólares de flujo de caja libre ajustado, pero la dirección guía un crecimiento de apenas 19% a 20% para 2026 y admite que todavía no sabe modelar los ingresos por agentes y por tokens, de modo que la acción cotiza cerca de 1.6 veces el EV/ingresos a futuro frente a comparables mucho más caros. Calificación Compra cautelosa: una plataforma de flujos de trabajo todavía rentable y con caja abundante se cotiza como si su motor de crecimiento ya se hubiera roto, mientras la tracción récord en grandes clientes dice lo contrario.
52/100
Constellation Software: una máquina de capitalización a precio pleno
Constellation Software es una máquina descentralizada de asignación de capital que compra y conserva de forma indefinida más de 1100 negocios autónomos de software de mercado vertical, capitalizando un flujo de caja recurrente y pegajoso de mantenimiento hacia nuevas adquisiciones de nicho repartidas en nueve grupos operativos. El debate de inversión ya gira en torno al precio y a la continuidad, no a la calidad: en el primer trimestre de 2026 los ingresos subieron 20% hasta 3.181 mil millones de dólares, con un crecimiento orgánico del 6% y un flujo de caja libre disponible para los accionistas de 733 millones de dólares; aun así, a 2882.02 dólares canadienses la acción cotiza cerca de 58.7 veces los beneficios de los últimos doce meses y 22.9 veces ese flujo de caja, mientras la salida del fundador Mark Leonard en 2025 y los temores sobre la IA enturbian las perspectivas. Calificación Mantener: una rara máquina de capitalización en software, pero el precio de hoy todavía da por supuesta tanta continuidad que el margen de seguridad es estrecho.
50/100
Investigación en profundidad sobre HubSpot
HubSpot es una plataforma CRM integrada para pymes y empresas medianas, con 288700 clientes de pago al cierre de 2025, y está evolucionando desde una herramienta de marketing hacia agentes de IA y SaaS basado en asientos. En 2025 los ingresos fueron de $3.13 mil millones, un aumento del 19%, el beneficio operativo GAAP pasó a positivo y el flujo de caja libre alcanzó $595 millones; sin embargo, la valoración aún se sitúa cerca de 99x P/E TTM, mientras que la reconstrucción de precios impulsada por IA sigue sin estar probada. Calificación de investigación Mantener: los fundamentales son sólidos, pero conviene esperar una corrección hacia la zona ideal de compra de $135 a $145 antes de entrar.
48/100
76Buffett
Kingsoft Office In-Depth Research
Kingsoft Office is China's leading office software company, with revenue supported by WPS personal subscriptions, institutional licensing, and collaboration SaaS. In 2025, revenue reached 5.929 billion yuan, WPS AI MAU climbed to 80.13 million, and annual paying personal users approached 49 million, but the surge in Q1 2026 net profit was mainly driven by investment income while operating PE still sits around 55x. Rating Hold: AI has truly moved into the conversion layer, but reported profit is distorted and valuation remains expensive.
49/100
83Buffett
Dassault Systèmes: A Zen Horizon Framework Deep-Dive Research Report
Dassault Systèmes is a global leader in industrial software, built around the 3DEXPERIENCE platform and a virtual-twin portfolio spanning CATIA, SOLIDWORKS, SIMULIA, DELMIA, and Medidata. FY2025 revenue was €6.24 billion (+4% cc), recurring revenue was 82% of software revenue, non-IFRS operating margin was 32%, and the company held net cash, making it a very high-quality subscription software franchise. Rating Watch: a durable compounder whose valuation has de-rated sharply, but whose growth has not yet stabilized enough to create a clear margin of safety.
47/100
58Buffett
GoDaddy Long-Term Value Investment Research
GoDaddy is an SMB digital platform that starts with domains and extends into websites, email, marketing, payments, and commerce tools. At about $85.83, the stock has fallen back into a researchable range, with a conservative owner-earnings multiple of roughly 9-11 times and a 20%-30% discount to neutral intrinsic value, though the margin of safety is not thick; the ideal buy range is $70-$80. Research rating Cautious Buy: a durable cash-flow compounder with real platform value, but not enough downside protection for an aggressive position.
46/100
Tyler Technologies Deep Value Investment Research
Tyler Technologies is the leading U.S. vertical software provider for local governments, spanning courts, public safety, tax, ERP, and payments, with recurring revenue at 87%, client retention at 98%, and very high switching costs. The core thesis is that this is a high-quality, durable business, but the current share price of about $313 already embeds a premium for quality software and leaves limited margin of safety. Report rating Watch: a compounder worth tracking, with an ideal buy range of $220 to $260.
45/100
Trimble Deep Value Investment Research
Trimble is an industrial software, positioning/field systems, and logistics platform company that is shifting from hardware toward subscription and recurring revenue. Its moat is a stack of moderate advantages, cash-flow quality is improving, but governance still carries blemishes. Research rating Watch: at about USD 56, the stock looks closer to fair value than cheap, with insufficient margin of safety and an ideal buy range of USD 38-45.
48/100
51Buffett
PTC Deep Value Investment Research
PTC is an industrial software vendor whose CAD/PLM/ALM/SLM tools form a product-data backbone for manufacturing customers, with roughly 95% recurring revenue, high switching costs, and strong cash conversion. The business quality is sound, but at the current share price of about $138.73, the conservative owner-earnings yield is only around 4%, not generous relative to U.S. Treasuries, leaving an insufficient margin of safety. Research rating Watch: a durable compounder worth tracking, with a preferred entry range of $95 to $115.
47/100
58Buffett
Gen Digital In-Depth Value Investment Research
Gen Digital is a consumer digital-safety subscription platform built around Norton, Avast, LifeLock, and MoneyLion's financial-wellness capabilities. The core thesis is that the business is asset-light and highly cash-generative, but its moat is only moderate to weak given limited entry barriers, free platform bundling, and roughly $8.2 billion of debt. Research rating Watch: a reasonable cash-flow compounder, but the current price near $25.79 does not offer a clear margin of safety versus an ideal buy range of $20-23.
54/100
85Buffett
Veeva Systems: A Deep Value Investing Study
The dominant vertical SaaS provider built solely for life sciences, with 1,552 customers, FY2026 revenue of $3.195 billion, net income of $909 million, and almost no interest-bearing debt. A great business at an unremarkable price, with an ideal buy range of $125-140. Rating Watch: a high-quality compounder worth tracking closely, but today's price leaves no clear margin of safety.
50/100
64Buffett
Salesforce: A Long-Term Owner's View
Salesforce is the global CRM leader, with FY2026 revenue of $41.525 billion, free cash flow of $14.402 billion, subscriptions at 95% of revenue, and cRPO of $35.1 billion. At the current share price of $180.07, the stock trades at roughly 13.5 times conservative owner earnings, within a reasonable value band but without a clear margin of safety. Research rating Watch: a high-quality software platform whose cash-flow durability is evident, but whose current price leaves limited room for execution risk.
51/100
61Buffett
ServiceNow: A Value Investing Study
The leading enterprise workflow operating-system platform (post-split share price $102.25), with strong subscription stickiness and high cash-flow quality, yet on a conservative Owner Earnings basis that treats stock-based compensation as a real cost, the roughly 41x multiple still looks tight; ideal buy range $70-85. Rating Watch: an excellent business, but at today's price you are buying the expectation of continued excellence rather than an obviously undervalued asset.
53/100
Zscaler: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective
A high-quality, subscription-heavy cloud security platform: FY2026 Q2 subscription mix at 84%, steady ARR growth, and 3.5 billion in net cash. The catch is price: forward EV/S near 8.2x, P/FCF near 33x, GAAP still in the red, and heavy stock-based compensation that drags down true owner earnings, leaving today's roughly 180 dollars sitting at the low end of an optimistic scenario. Rating Watch: an excellent business at a price that offers conservative investors little margin of safety.
52/100
52Buffett
Workday: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective
FY2026 subscription revenue is 92% of the total, subscription backlog stands at 28.1 billion dollars, and gross retention is 97%, so business quality is solid. But how you treat stock-based compensation directly determines real shareholder returns, buyback timing has been off (average price 226.62 dollars versus 128.14 today), and the stock looks cheap on P/FCF yet not cheap on a GAAP basis, leaving a thin margin of safety. Rating Watch: a high-quality operator that has not yet earned an unarguable margin of safety.
56/100
44Buffett
Shopify: una plataforma de infraestructura comercial
Un sistema operativo de comercio para comerciantes independientes, con GMV de 378.4 mil millones de dólares en 2025, ingresos de 11.556 mil millones de dólares y FCF reportado de 2.007 mil millones de dólares. Tras deducir la compensación en acciones y el capital inmovilizado en préstamos, las ganancias del propietario conservadoras quedan en solo 1.2 mil millones de dólares, con un rango ideal de compra de $75-95. Calificación Vigilar: un compuesto de alta calidad cuyo precio actual todavía no ofrece un margen de seguridad suficiente sobre una base conservadora.
48/100
66Buffett
Roper Technologies Research from a Long-Term Owner's Perspective
Roper has largely completed its transition from an industrial acquisition platform into a vertical-software holding platform, with software at 77.6% of revenue and recurring plus highly repeatable revenue at 67.3%. The current price is attractive on a conservative owner-earnings basis, but high goodwill, elevated intangible assets, and net debt/EBITDA of about 3.1x mean the margin of safety is real but not thick. Research rating Cautious Buy: a durable compounder with valuation support, but execution and acquisition discipline still matter.
55/100
85Buffett
Alphabet Inc.: A Long-Term Business Owner's Study
A top-tier platform cash machine whose 2025 revenue cleared $400 billion for the first time, with a Search cash cow layered on a Cloud/AI upcycle. At roughly $383.47 the shares already sit near the top of the optimistic case, leaving thin margin of safety. Conservative intrinsic value is $90-120, fair value $200-260, optimistic $340-390. Rating Watch: a superb business worth tracking, but wait for the price rather than chase it.
52/100
Datadog: A Value Investing Deep Dive
A high-quality cloud observability platform with 30% growth and strong cash flow, but at the current 218.04 dollars it trades 56%-129% above a fair intrinsic value of 95-140 dollars, leaving no margin of safety. Rating Watch: an excellent business whose price already prices in years of flawless execution.
48/100
96Buffett
Adobe Investment Research from a Long-Term Business Owner's Perspective
Adobe is a high-quality subscription software platform across creative, document, and marketing workflows, with gross margins near 90%, very strong cash flow, and net leverage close to zero. The company is being repriced for AI risk, while the current price of $253.37 is roughly 10x free cash flow and the ideal buy range is $220-280. Research rating Cautious Buy: a durable compounder with improved odds, but not enough margin of safety for an indiscriminate large position.
52/100
72Buffett
Autodesk: A Deep Value Investment Analysis
A high-stickiness leader in professional design software, with FY2026 recurring revenue at 97% of total and free cash flow of 2.4 billion dollars. But at roughly 244 dollars the stock sits in the optimistic zone, SBC erodes true earnings, and the margin of safety is thin. Rating Watch: a high-quality compounder priced for optimism rather than safety; ideal buy range 140-180 dollars.
42/100
93Buffett
Infosys: In-Depth Value Investing Research
A global IT services leader with solid cash flow, ample net cash, and steady governance; FY26 revenue of $20.2 billion, but with low industry growth and AI potentially compressing the billing model, the current price of $12.72 leaves a thin margin of safety. Rating: Watch.
55/100
65Buffett
Oracle Corporation: A Long-Term Business Owner's Perspective
A sticky database/ERP software cash cow layered with a capital-intensive AI/OCI expansion: an excellent business, but at roughly $181 the stock already sits near the top of the optimistic case. Rating Watch: a great company whose current price leaves little margin of safety.
55/100
91Buffett
Microsoft: A Deep Value Investment Study
A long-term, platform-monopoly stickiness machine with relentless cash generation and a front-row reinvestment seat into the AI era; at the current price the market cap sits near $3.15 trillion, putting it on roughly 28x conservative Owner Earnings and a strict 43x FCF. At $423.54 the stock is close to fair value but lacks a margin of safety, with a sensible buy range of $300–360 (fair value $390–470 at a 20–30% discount). Rating Watch: a superb business at a reasonable-to-slightly-rich price, worth following closely rather than chasing here.
57/100
44Buffett
Amazon: la perspectiva de un propietario a largo plazo
Una plataforma de capitalización compuesta de primer nivel (red minorista + AWS + publicidad + vendedores externos), con ingresos de 716.9 mil millones de dólares en 2025 y un beneficio operativo de 80.0 mil millones de dólares; pero la inversión de capital en IA se ha disparado hasta 128.3 mil millones de dólares, dejando el flujo de caja libre TTM en apenas 1.2 mil millones de dólares. Al precio actual de 264.86 dólares, la acción se sitúa cerca del borde superior del escenario optimista y el margen de seguridad es escaso. Compra razonable 150-210 dólares, entrada cómoda 120-155 dólares. Calificación Vigilar: un negocio de clase mundial, pero cotizado como excelencia cara y no como grandeza barata.
61/100
46Buffett
Palantir desde la óptica de un propietario a largo plazo
Palantir ha pasado de "alto crecimiento pero pérdidas crónicas" a "alto crecimiento más fuerte generación de caja": ingresos de 4.475 mil millones en el ejercicio 2025 (+56%), beneficio neto GAAP atribuible a los accionistas de 1.625 mil millones y flujo de caja libre de 2.101 mil millones; los ingresos del Q1 2026 crecieron un 85%, con el negocio comercial en EE. UU. un 133% al alza. Sin embargo, a los 133.99 actuales, una capitalización de 344.5 mil millones implica un PER histórico de aproximadamente 150.6x, un P/FCF de aproximadamente 128x y un P/OE ajustado por SBC de aproximadamente 176x. Es una empresa excelente cotizada para una perfección casi total, digna de poseer a largo plazo pero no digna de adquirir al precio de hoy. Los tres escenarios de DCF aterrizan en 18-30 / 35-60 / 75-110, dejando el precio actual muy por encima incluso del rango optimista. Calificación Vigilar: una compañía compuesta de alta calidad cuyo precio ya descuenta una década de éxito extraordinario.
51/100
Cloudflare: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective
A high-quality growth asset that is richly priced: DBNRR of 118% and 4,416 large customers spending $100K+ are still expanding, yet Q1 2026 gross margin slipped from 76% to 71%, and at $197.56 the market has already pulled forward a decade of high growth and margin expansion, with little evidence of high-quality owner earnings net of stock-based compensation. Rating Watch: an excellent business at a demanding price that leaves no margin of safety today.
49/100
83Buffett
Apple: A Long-Term Owner's View
Apple is a world-class consumer technology platform with exceptional ecosystem depth, services monetization, and cash generation. The core thesis is that the business remains highly durable, but the current price already reflects much of the quality, buybacks, AI optionality, and services growth while leaving limited room for uncertainty around AI access points, EU antitrust economics, and Greater China. Report rating Watch: a high-quality compounder worth following closely, but not a clear margin-of-safety purchase at today's valuation.