業種
Media & Entertainment
Media & Entertainment のすべてのレポート — 全 8 件。
50/100
69Buffett
ニューヨーク・タイムズ:バンドル経済が満額評価に到達
ニューヨーク・タイムズ・カンパニーは、サブスクリプション主導のプレミアムメディア事業であり、1308万人の購読者(うちデジタル限定が約1252万人)がジャーナリズム、The Athletic によるスポーツ、ゲーム、料理、広告を支えている。中核となる論点は、複数プロダクトのバンドルがサブスクリプションの解約をより難しくしているという点にある:2025年のサブスクリプション収益は総額28.25億ドルのうち19.5億ドルに達し、2026年第1四半期のデジタル限定サブスクリプション収益は16.1%増加した。しかし株価はおおむね予想利益の約32倍、EV/EBITDA の約20倍であり、次の上昇局面の大部分を織り込んでいる。加えて一時的な税制によるキャッシュフローの追い風がフリーキャッシュフローを実態以上に良く見せ、AI 検索がファネル最上流のディスカバリーを脅かしている。評価はホールド:有料ニュースで規模を勝ち取った稀有な勝者ではあるが、バンドル経済、キャッシュフローの質、AI のオプション価値はすでに満額評価に近く、新規買い手にとっての安全余裕は存在しない。
34/100
Paramount Skydance Corporation: A Long-Term Value Investing Study
Good assets, bad security. The content assets are real (CBS, Paramount+, a vast film library), but linear TV keeps eroding, free cash flow is thin, and the equity is being reshaped by a mega-acquisition of WBD: a $47 billion equity raise plus roughly $79 billion of net debt. The $10.61 margin of safety is hard to verify, with an ideal entry below $7. Rating Avoid: real content assets attached to an unsettled, likely heavily diluted, more highly leveraged future platform, with no verifiable margin of safety for a conservative value investor.
40/100
News Corp Class A Deep Value Investment Research
News Corp's non-voting Class A shares are a different share class of the same company as voting NWS Class B shares. The company is a hybrid information-services holding company built from Dow Jones, REA/Move digital real estate, HarperCollins, and news media assets, with uneven moat quality across segments, consolidated ROE only in the mid-single digits, and a governance discount from the Murdoch dual-class structure. Rating Watch: at roughly $26.10, the shares sit within a reasonable value range, free cash flow yield is below Treasuries, and the margin of safety is insufficient, with an ideal buy range of $20-23.
47/100
TKO Group Deep Value Investment Research
TKO is a scarce sports IP and rights distributor built around UFC and WWE, with strong brands, multi-year media rights contracts, and low capital intensity. The core thesis is that business quality is above most media and entertainment companies, but the current price of roughly $205 implies about 34.5x last year's free cash flow and leaves too little margin of safety. Research rating Watch: a high-quality compounder to track closely, with an ideal buy range of $90-110.
42/100
74Buffett
Fox Corporation: A Deep Value Investing Analysis
A news-and-sports media company with strong cash flow, heavy buybacks and a moderate moat, but its linear distribution is being eroded by streaming; at $59.23 the margin of safety is insufficient, with an ideal buy range of $50–55. Rating: Watch.
41/100
26Buffett
Live Nation Entertainment: A Long-Term Business Owner's Perspective
The world's largest live entertainment company; 2025 revenue of $25.2 billion serving 159 million live attendees; Concerts runs on thin margins while Ticketing/Sponsorship are high-margin, but antitrust is eroding the flywheel and the valuation sits at the optimistic ceiling. Rating Watch, ideal buy $60-80.
45/100
39Buffett
Disney: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective
A good asset at a fair price: Disney's IP + sports + experiences composite ecosystem shows real improvement, but at about $103 the market has already largely priced in the buyback recovery, the streaming turnaround, and the leadership transition, leaving a thin margin of safety. Rated Watch.
32/100
Warner Bros. Discovery: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective
A combination of streaming, studios, and linear television; 2025 FCF of 3.1 billion gives a 4.6% FCF yield, roughly even with the 4.57% 10-year Treasury. The PSKY merger at $31 per share in cash has shareholder approval, and today's 27.03 already carries an event premium; on standalone operating value the ideal buy range is $12-17, leaving the current price neither cheap nor clean. Rating Watch: a strong-asset company mid-transformation whose price already prices in the deal, with too little standalone margin of safety for a conservative long-term owner.