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49/100 Watch Qualcomm Long-Term Owner-Oriented Research Qualcomm is a semiconductor platform and patent-licensing compounder, with FY25 revenue of $44.284 billion and a 72% QTL pretax margin. The core thesis is that strong cash flow and platform diversification are real, but handset exposure, Apple in-house modems, and Chinese OEM self-development keep the margin of safety thin at about 20x Owner Earnings. Research rating Watch: a high-quality company, but the current price leaves limited room for conservative underwriting. Qualcomm IncorporatedQCOM · USSemiconductorsMay 23, 2026 34/100 Watch Best Buy: An Investment Analysis Through the Lens of a Long-Term Business Owner A mature consumer-electronics retailer with FY26 free cash flow of about 1.258 billion dollars and a forward P/E near 9.6x, so the stock is not expensive. But Amazon has already overtaken it on share and the moat is narrow, with an ideal buy zone of 50-58 dollars and an insufficient margin of safety. Rating Watch: a cheap, mature cash cow rather than a high-quality compounder, not yet cheap enough to justify a position at today's price. Best Buy Co., Inc.BBY · USRetailMay 23, 2026 32/100 Watch Baxter International: Hospital Essentials and an Execution Repair Story Baxter makes the hospital essentials—IV fluids, infusion systems, pharmacy compounding, surgical hemostats, hospital beds—that care systems depend on every day, but it is still working through the aftermath of the Hillrom acquisition plus 2025 product-safety and execution problems. At roughly $19.18 the stock sits in the gap between my fair-value and optimistic ranges, making it a turnaround stock to watch rather than a core compounding asset. Rating Watch: a stable-demand but middling-economics supplier whose current price gives conservative investors too little margin of safety. Baxter International Inc.BAX · USMedical DevicesMay 23, 2026 41/100 Watch Avery Dennison Pressure-Sensitive Labels & RFID Deep Dive AVY is the global leader in pressure-sensitive label materials with RFID/digital identity as an incremental driver, TTM FCF $873 million, P/FCF 14x, EV/EBITDA 10.9x; at the current $159.66 it sits in the gap between the conservative and fair-value ranges — reasonably acceptable rather than clearly undervalued. Avery Dennison CorporationAVY · USPackagingMay 23, 2026 40/100 Watch AvalonBay Communities Apartment REIT and Merger Research AvalonBay is a high-barrier regional apartment REIT with 2025 Core FFO of $11.24/share; on 2026-05-21 it announced a stock-for-stock merger of equals with EQR (2.793 EQR shares per AVB share). Rating Watch: the current price of $185.65 sits right at the implied exchange parity of $184.90, leaving no Buffett-style margin of safety. AvalonBay Communities, Inc.AVB · USREITsMay 23, 2026 52/100 Watch Ares Management: A Deep Dive into the Alternative Asset Management Platform Ares is an alternative asset management platform: 2025 AUM of 623 billion / FPAUM of 385 billion / management fees of 3.863 billion / FRE of 1.775 billion, with FRE making up 96% of distributable cash. At 124.41 dollars, the stock sits inside our fair-value range, and the margin of safety for new buyers is thin. Rating Watch: a high-quality, moat-widening franchise priced for its growth, where the business is good enough but the price is not generous enough. Ares Management CorporationARES · USAsset ManagementMay 23, 2026 42/100 Watch Aptiv: The New Aptiv and Its Automotive Connection Systems After spinning off EDS in April 2026, the "New Aptiv" is centered on connection systems and software; 2026 guidance calls for revenue of $12.8-13.2 billion and EBITDA of $2.36-2.48 billion. At the current $57.36 the stock sits in the gap between the conservative and fair-value ranges, having just touched the low end of fair value. Rating Watch: a decent business, but the price has not reached bargain territory. Aptiv PLCAPTV · USElectric VehiclesMay 23, 2026 53/100 Watch Apollo Global Management: A Study of a Compounding Alternative-Asset Platform Apollo is a compound financial enterprise that bundles alternative asset management, insurance liabilities, and credit origination, posting 2025 FRE of $2.528 billion and SRE of $3.361 billion, with AUM reaching roughly $1.03 trillion by Q1 2026. At the current $128.51 the shares sit in the upper-middle of the conservative range and below fair value, leaving the margin of safety too thin. Rating Watch: a high-quality but highly complex platform worth tracking, where I would wait for a more comfortable entry rather than chase the price. Apollo Global Management, Inc.APO · USAsset ManagementMay 23, 2026 Watch Amphenol: A Deep Dive on Connectors and Interconnect Products Amphenol is a leader in connectors and interconnect products, with end markets so fragmented that no single customer exceeds 10% of sales, and 2025 free cash flow of roughly 4.4 billion. At the current 132.06 dollars, the 36.4x P/E and 38.7x P/FCF place it at the upper edge of fair value, leaving the starting valuation already very high. Rating Watch: a high-quality compounder fully priced for excellence, with little margin of safety. Amphenol CorporationAPH · USDiversified IndustrialsMay 23, 2026 42/100 Watch Air Products: A Long-Term Value Study of Industrial Gases Air Products is one of the global big three in industrial gases, with large FCF swings through its LNG/hydrogen project transition; at $289.47 the stock sits inside the fair-value band, and its 30.6x P/E pays at once for both a good business and a successful turnaround, leaving too little discount. Rating: Watch. Air Products and Chemicals, Inc.APD · USDiversified IndustrialsMay 23, 2026 33/100 Watch APA Corporation: Upstream Oil & Gas and the Suriname Option APA is an upstream oil and gas company combining a Suriname GranMorgu option with a US/Egypt/UK asset base. At roughly $38.8 today it sits at the top of its fair-value range, deeply constrained by oil prices, geopolitics, and ongoing capital spending—a cyclical name rather than a long-term compounder. Rating Watch: a passable operator with an attractive option but no durable moat, where the current price offers little margin of safety for a conservative long-term owner. APA CorporationAPA · USOilfield Services & Energy TechnologyMay 23, 2026 41/100 Watch A. O. Smith Water Heaters & Water Treatment Deep Dive A. O. Smith is North America's leading water heater maker, with 2025 EPS of $3.85 and FCF of $546 million; having just completed the Leonard Valve acquisition and cut full-year guidance, its current price of $57.28 sits in the gap between the conservative and neutral valuation ranges, with only a modest discount. A. O. Smith CorporationAOS · USDiversified IndustrialsMay 23, 2026 44/100 Watch Aon Risk and Human Capital Platform Study Aon is a global risk and human capital advisory-plus-distribution platform, centered on insurance broking, reinsurance, health benefits, and retirement consulting. The business is high-quality and understandable, with sticky client relationships and strong cash generation, but at the current $324.78 and a 17.8x P/E it sits in the upper half of its fair-value range. Rating: Watch—high quality yet not obviously cheap, worth tracking rather than chasing at this price. Aon plcAON · USInsuranceMay 23, 2026 56/100 Watch Arista Networks: A Long-Term Study of the Data Center Switching Leader Arista is the leader in high-end Ethernet switching, combining the EOS software stack with an engineering reputation in cloud data centers, an asset-light model, and powerful free cash flow. At the current 156.22 dollars, the trailing P/E of 48.6x already sits above the upper bound of an optimistic intrinsic value, with high-growth expectations priced in well ahead of time. Rating Watch: a superb business whose price has run ahead of its margin of safety. Arista Networks, Inc.ANET · USNetworking EquipmentMay 23, 2026 45/100 Watch American Tower: Long-Term Value Study of a Communications-Tower REIT AMT is the world's leading communications-tower REIT, trading at a forward P/AFFO of 16.8x, EV/EBITDA of 16.9x, and net leverage of 4.9x. At the current $183.85 it sits in the middle of its fair-value range, a fair price rather than an undervalued one, lacking a 20-25% margin of safety. Rating: Watch. American Tower CorporationAMT · USREITsMay 23, 2026 47/100 Watch Ameriprise Financial Wealth Management Deep-Dive Ameriprise is an integrated wealth management, asset management, and insurance/annuity platform with $1.69 trillion in AUM and 40%-50%+ ROE. The core thesis is that its advisor-led platform and disciplined capital return can compound per-share value, but the current $452.31 price and 11.27x trailing PE sit near the lower end of fair value without the wide discount conservative investors require. Report rating Watch: a high-quality financial compounder worth tracking closely, but not yet cheap enough to offset its market sensitivity, asset-management outflows, insurance-accounting complexity, and regulatory risk. Ameriprise Financial, Inc.AMP · USAsset ManagementMay 23, 2026 45/100 Watch AMETEK Precision Instruments and Industrial Technology Research AMETEK is a compounding platform in precision instruments and industrial technology; in Q1 2026 orders grew 23%, sales 11%, and adjusted operating profit 14%, yet at the current $232.70 the price already sits above the upper bound of an optimistic intrinsic value, with market expectations priced in ahead. AMETEK, Inc.AME · USDiversified IndustrialsMay 23, 2026 35/100 Watch Amcor: Packaging Platform and M&A Integration Study Amcor is a global leader in flexible and rigid packaging; after the Berry acquisition net debt sits at 14.266 billion and net leverage at 4.2x, on the high side. At the current 38.38 dollars, forward adjusted PE is just 9.6x with a 6.7% dividend yield, but if integration falls short, returns get squeezed back to mediocre. Rating Watch: a defensible, cash-generative packaging platform whose payoff hinges on Berry synergies landing and deleveraging executing. Amcor plcAMCR · USPackagingMay 23, 2026 44/100 Watch Allegion Access Control and Electronic Security Deep Dive Allegion is a leader in access-control locks and electronic security. In 2025 it posted revenue of $4.067 billion and free cash flow of $686 million; at the current $130.43 the stock sits between the conservative and neutral value ranges, and its 6.1% equity FCF yield offers thin risk compensation over the 4.56% 10-year U.S. Treasury. Rating Watch: a high-quality business, but today's price is merely fair, not cheap. Allegion plcALLE · USDiversified IndustrialsMay 23, 2026 42/100 Watch Allstate: Personal P&C Insurance and Protection Services Study Allstate is the third-largest U.S. personal property & casualty insurer; its 2025 combined ratio of 85.2% sits at a multi-year low; at the current $216.60 the stock falls within the fair-value band, its strong earnings carry an underwriting-cycle tailwind, and the margin of safety has thinned. The Allstate CorporationALL · USInsuranceMay 23, 2026 45/100 Watch Align Technology: Digital Orthodontics Platform Study Align's Invisalign has cumulatively treated 22 million patients across some 300,000 doctor customers; with a 2021-2025 revenue CAGR of only 0.5% and declining margins, at the current $163.6 the stock sits between the upper bound of conservative intrinsic value and the lower bound of fair value. Rating: Watch, a good business at only an ordinary price. Align Technology, Inc.ALGN · USMedical DevicesMay 23, 2026 42/100 Watch AIG: Property-Casualty Insurance and Capital Return Study AIG has completed its slim-down into a pure P&C insurer: a 2025 combined ratio of 90.1% and $5.8 billion of buybacks; but its 11.1% core ROE still lags Chubb/Travelers/Hartford, and at $77.05 it lacks a margin of safety below the lower bound of conservative intrinsic value. American International Group, Inc.AIG · USInsuranceMay 23, 2026 44/100 Watch Aflac Supplemental Insurance and Japan Market Study Aflac is the leader in supplemental insurance in Japan, where the country contributes 69% of profit and where brand and channel barriers run deep; the current $117.86 is already near the upper edge of the fair-value range and lacks the margin of safety conservative investors require. Aflac IncorporatedAFL · USInsuranceMay 23, 2026 51/100 Watch Netflix: A Long-Term Business Owner's Perspective Netflix has shifted from burning cash to generating it reliably, with 2025 revenue of $45.18 billion and Owner Earnings of roughly $9.3-9.5 billion. But at $89.30 the stock trades at about 35-40x conservative Owner Earnings, leaving little margin of safety; the ideal buy zone sits at $50-65. Rating Watch: a high-quality platform that is fully priced today and rewards patience over purchase at the current level. Netflix, Inc.NFLX · USInternet PlatformsMay 22, 2026