Semiconductors
All research in Semiconductors — 15 reports.
Hua Hong is a China-based foundry centered on mature and specialty processes, monetizing eNVM, power, analog power, and MCU platforms while listed in both A and H shares, with the H-share price translated into USD at about 17.77. Its platform value is real, but gross margin remains in the low teens, depreciation from expansion is still suppressing earnings, and the current price has already capitalized margin and cash-flow recovery ahead of delivery. Rating Hold: the fair buy zone is USD 11.4-13.3 for the H shares, and a higher price should wait until gross margin clearly moves above 15%.
United Microelectronics Corporation is one of Taiwan's two leading foundries, focused on mature and specialty processes such as 22/28nm. Q1 2026 revenue was NT$61.04 billion with a 29.2% gross margin, but the year-on-year EPS doubling was amplified mainly by non-operating income, while the current price implies 3.87x P/B and roughly 31x adjusted P/E, neither of which is cheap. Research rating Watch: the cyclical recovery is real, but the current price has already discounted most of the optimistic case.
Wolfspeed is a U.S.-based vertically integrated silicon carbide power semiconductor pure play that relisted after completing its Chapter 11 restructuring in September 2025. The roughly 70% debt reduction solved the interest burden, but not the margin problem: FY2026 Q3 gross margin was -27%, operating cash flow remains negative, and convertibles plus warrants leave further dilution risk. Research rating Watch: scarce assets, but margins and per-share value are still underwater.
SENASIC is an automotive-grade wireless sensing SoC designer, ranked third globally and first in China by 2025 revenue, with an IPO offer price of HKD 18.36 in June 2026 and an expected Main Board listing on June 17. 2025 revenue reached RMB 477.9 million, gross margin rose to 28.0%, and adjusted loss narrowed to RMB 31.88 million, but the offer price implies roughly 12.7 times sales while wBMS is still on the eve of validation and design wins. Rating Watch: TPMS leadership is proven, the wBMS option remains early, and the ideal buy zone is HKD 12-14.
Lenovo Group is the world's largest personal computer (PC) vendor, ranking first by IDC's 2026 Q1 share at 25.2%, and its Hybrid AI strategy spans three business groups: Intelligent Devices Group (IDG, about 70% of revenue), Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG, AI server business), and Solutions and Services Group (SSG). FY2025/26 revenue, through March 2026, reached a record USD 83.1 billion, up 20.3%, with AI-related revenue doubling to 33% of the group, ISG turning profitable for the first full year, and the company ending the year in a net cash position. Research rating Watch: a good asset with a sound balance sheet, but 2026 PC-market headwinds, thin AI-server margins, and sell-side consensus targets below the current price leave a negative margin of safety.
MediaTek is the world's second-largest fabless chip designer after Qualcomm and ranked among the global top ten semiconductor companies by 2025 revenue, with a business mix spanning mobile chips, smart edge platforms, and an emerging AI ASIC franchise. The central investment debate is whether the 2026 AI ASIC revenue target, doubled from USD 1 billion to USD 2 billion, can justify a valuation that already prices in a major 2027-2028 breakout despite FY2025 net income declining 1.0%. Research rating Watch: a strong strategic option in AI ASICs, but current valuation leaves little margin of safety.
Navitas (NVTS) is a small fabless wide-bandgap power semiconductor company founded in California in 2014, listed via SPAC in 2021, and expanded into high-voltage SiC through the $100M GeneSiC acquisition in 2022. Its two product lines, GaNFast integrated ICs and GeneSiC SiC MOSFETs, span 80V to 3300V and target AI data-center 800V HVDC, energy infrastructure, high-performance computing, industrial electrification, and mobile charging. Report rating Underweight: NVIDIA's 800V HVDC partnership is real, but the valuation already prices in an optimistic Kyber 2027 ramp, dominant NVTS share, and an AI narrative premium.
Ambarella is one of the global leaders in edge AI vision SoCs, with FY2026 revenue of $390.7M (+37%), edge AI contributing roughly 80%, non-GAAP profitability turning positive for the first time, and a debt-free net-cash balance sheet. The core thesis is that its low-power vision inference niche is real, but GAAP losses remain, growth is slowing to a forward +13%, automotive volume is unlikely before FY2028, and Nvidia plus Chinese competitors are squeezing it from both ends. Research rating Watch: a differentiated edge AI vision compounder, but the current price still lacks a fundamental margin of safety.
GlobalFoundries is the only Western pure-play foundry with manufacturing capacity across the United States, Europe, and Singapore, built around RF-SOI, FD-SOI, automotive, power, silicon photonics, and trusted manufacturing. The core thesis is a scarce reshoring and silicon-photonics positioning offset by a mature-node foundry model with only 26% gross margin, far below TSMC's 62%, and cyclical revenue. Research rating Watch: a real strategic asset, but the stock has already moved ahead of Wall Street consensus and fundamental growth.
China's largest foundry and the only mainland player with advanced-node capability at DUV 7nm, SMIC generated FY25 revenue of USD 9.33 billion with a 21% gross margin, but ROE was only about 3%, free cash flow was about USD -5.2 billion, and profits relied heavily on government subsidies. The core debate is whether strategic indispensability, AI-driven mature-node pricing, and domestic substitution can offset weak returns, heavy capex, and export-control ceilings. Research rating Watch: a strategically important asset, but at the current price the risk-reward is skewed downward.
Horizon Robotics is a China leader in automotive intelligent-driving chips, despite the robotics label. Its in-house BPU and Journey-series SoCs have delivered FY2025 revenue of RMB 3.76 billion, 47.7% share in ADAS chips for Chinese domestic brands, and cumulative Journey shipments above 10 million units, but adjusted net loss widened to RMB 2.8 billion, R&D reached 137% of revenue, high-end urban NOA share trails Huawei, and core customers are building in-house chips. Report rating Watch: a real domestic autonomy-chip leader whose profitability path and competitive position still need clearer proof.
Infineon is the global leader in both power semiconductors and automotive semiconductors, and a core supplier for AI data-center power delivery. FY2025 revenue of €14.66 billion (-2%) and a 17.5% segment result margin mark a cyclical trough, while FY2026 guidance has been raised to 'significant growth.' Rating Watch: a world-class franchise is being repriced ahead of earnings delivery, so the right stance is to track it closely and wait for a margin of safety.
MACOM is a high-performance analog, RF, and photonic semiconductor company serving industrial and defense, data center, and telecom markets, with U.S.-based wafer capacity and Trusted Foundry credentials. The core view is that business quality does not justify the current valuation: at $382.35, the stock trades above all three valuation ranges and at about 160x GAAP PE, while a fair entry would require a much lower price. Report rating Watch: a durable asset worth tracking, with no value-investing buy signal at today's price.
Rating Watch. At the current 102.74 USD, the standalone intrinsic value falls in a fair range of 100-120, with an ideal buy zone of 80-90; Apple accounts for roughly 50% of revenue, and QRVO is in the middle of the Skyworks merger (implied consideration around 108.46), leaving no clear margin of safety. Rating Watch: a real but unexceptional business whose price, distorted by deal arbitrage, does not yet offer enough cushion for a long-term owner.
A genuinely capable global semiconductor IDM in automotive, industrial, MCUs, power devices, and MEMS, but one whose business quality remains highly cyclical rather than that of a steady cash cow. At the close of 2026-06-02, the stock at $79.51 already sits near the floor of the $80–100 optimistic range and above the top of the $55–70 fair range, leaving no margin of safety. Rating Watch: a decent company at an optimistic price, with an ideal buy zone of $45–55.