レポートアーカイブ

すべてのリサーチ

50 ページ中 38 ページ · 全 1199 本

55/100 58Buffett Watch Eli Lilly Deep Value Research: A Great Company at Too High a Price The tirzepatide platform has put Lilly at the top of the metabolic disease arena, but the $732 share price has already paid in advance for the next-generation pipeline and capacity expansion; a neutral DCF intrinsic value of only $560-680 leaves an insufficient margin of safety, making it better to wait for a pullback. Rating Watch: a great business whose current price gives long-term owners too little room for error. Eli Lilly and CompanyLLY · 米国株Pharmaceuticals2026年5月25日 44/100 76Buffett Watch Lockheed Martin: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective The leading U.S. defense prime contractor, with F-35 accounting for 27% of 2025 sales and a year-end backlog of $193.6 billion. 2025 free cash flow was $6.9 billion. At the current $466 share price the stock sits within its fair-value band, but recurring program losses leave a thin margin of safety. Lockheed Martin CorporationLMT · 米国株Aerospace & Defense2026年5月25日 41/100 80Buffett Watch Lowe's: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective The number-two U.S. home-improvement retailer, with FY2025 revenue of $86.29 billion, free cash flow of $7.65 billion, and ROIC of 26.1%. At the current price of $215.03, about 15.7x FCF, the stock sits within its fair-value band, but negative equity plus M&A that is reshaping the business boundary leaves the margin of safety unclear. Rating Watch: a good, understandable, cash-generative franchise, not a clearly undervalued bargain. Lowe's Companies, Inc.LOW · 米国株Retail2026年5月25日 49/100 86Buffett Watch Mastercard Deep Value Investment Research Mastercard is a global leader in two-sided payment networks, with a 60%+ operating margin and powerful network effects. At the current price of $498.54, its conservative FCF yield is only 3.8%, below the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, leaving no obvious margin of safety. Report Rating Watch: a superior compounder that belongs high on the watchlist, but the current price does not yet offer a compelling conservative entry point. Mastercard IncorporatedMA · 米国株FinTech2026年5月25日 46/100 75Buffett Watch McDonald's: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective McDonald's is a high-quality franchising and real-estate platform with resilient cash flow. At about $282, the stock trades around 23x trailing earnings and sits in the upper half of a reasonable value range, leaving limited margin of safety. Rating Watch: a durable compounder worth owning for the long term, but not an obvious heavy-buy opportunity today. McDonald's CorporationMCD · 米国株Restaurants2026年5月25日 46/100 71Buffett Watch Merck Research from a Long-Term Business Owner's Perspective Merck is a global innovative pharma leader, with Keytruda accounting for 49% of 2025 revenue. At the current price of $122.41, its FCF yield is only 4.1%, below the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and offering insufficient margin of safety against the 2028-2029 patent cliff. Research rating Watch: a high-quality business, but the price does not yet compensate enough for the post-Keytruda transition risk. Merck & Co., Inc.MRK · 米国株Pharmaceuticals2026年5月25日 46/100 68Buffett Watch Morgan Stanley Deep Value Investment Research Report Morgan Stanley is a global integrated financial platform with $7.38 trillion in Wealth Management client assets and 21.6% ROTCE in 2025. At the current price of $201.07, the stock is close to the upper end of the bull-case range at 3.9x TBVPS, leaving no obvious margin of safety. Research rating Watch: a high-quality franchise worth tracking, but the current valuation already prices in much of the improvement. Morgan StanleyMS · 米国株Investment Banking2026年5月25日 43/100 46Buffett Watch NextEra Energy: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective FPL's regulated moat plus NEER's renewables platform still make for a top-tier infrastructure business, but at $88.55 the stock already prices in much of the upside; layered with Dominion merger execution risk, the bid discount is insufficient. Rating: Watch. NextEra Energy, Inc.NEE · 米国株Electric Utilities2026年5月25日 35/100 28Buffett Watch Newmont Through a Long-Term Owner's Lens The world's flagship gold resource company, with 2025 revenue of $22.67 billion and $7.3 billion in free cash flow amplified by rising gold prices; yet at its core it remains a capital-heavy, deeply cyclical mining company with little pricing power, and today's price already discounts both peak gold prices and a successful-integration narrative. Ideal entry $35-50. Rating Watch: a top-tier gold resource base whose current price prices in the good news, better tracked than bought. Newmont CorporationNEM · 米国株Gold Mining2026年5月25日 40/100 Watch Pfizer: A Long-Term Business-Owner's Investment Research Pfizer is a large-cap pharmaceutical company in a recovery phase: 2025 revenue of $62.58 billion and operating cash flow of $11.70 billion, with the core ex-COVID business up 6% and dividend coverage comfortable. The Vyndaqel patent settlement extends exclusivity to 2031, but the Seagen and Metsera capital-allocation bets have yet to prove out. Rating Watch: at $25.85, the stock sits near neutral intrinsic value, with a fair buy range of $18-21. Pfizer Inc.PFE · 米国株Pharmaceuticals2026年5月25日 44/100 84Buffett Watch P&G Deep-Dive Value Research Report A global consumer-staples leader whose five categories reach nearly 5 billion consumers, with textbook-quality financials and thick cash flows. At the current $144.44 the stock trades at a 21.1x P/E, and its owner-earnings yield of just 4.7% sits only marginally above the 10-year Treasury, leaving no visible margin of safety. Rating: Watch — a great business at a normal-to-slightly-rich price rather than an obviously cheap one. The Procter & Gamble CompanyPG · 米国株Household & Personal Care2026年5月25日 45/100 Watch Progressive: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective A high-quality property-and-casualty compounding machine with strong underwriting discipline, dual-channel distribution, and high-quality float. At 2025's 87.4 combined ratio and roughly 3.64x PB / 10.15x PE, the market has already fully priced in a long continuation of high ROE, so it reads more like a good company than a good buy. Rating Watch: ideal entry $130-155. The Progressive CorporationPGR · 米国株Insurance2026年5月25日 45/100 78Buffett Watch Parker-Hannifin: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective A platform-type industrial company in motion and control technology, with a fragmented customer base, hundreds of thousands of SKUs, strong cash flow, and low capex intensity. At a current P/E of 31.98x and a conservative owner-earnings yield of about 3.1% that already trails the Treasury yield, the price sits in the low-to-mid range of the optimistic scenario. Rating Watch: a good company at a full price, ideal buy $550-700. Parker-Hannifin CorporationPH · 米国株Diversified Industrials2026年5月25日 43/100 Watch Prologis: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective The world's leading logistics real estate REIT: 1.3 billion square feet, $235 billion in AUM, 4.8x leverage, and 2025 AFFO of $4.335 billion. At the current price of $145.90 the stock already sits in the optimistic value band, with an owner earnings yield of just 3.0%, below the 10Y Treasury, leaving an insufficient margin of safety. Prologis, Inc.PLD · 米国株REITs2026年5月25日 46/100 76Buffett Watch Philip Morris International: In-Depth Value Investment Research Philip Morris International is a global nicotine company leading the shift to smoke-free products, with smoke-free products contributing 41.5% of 2025 net revenue. At the current price of USD 188.99, its conservative Owner Earnings yield is only 3.7%, below the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, leaving no obvious margin of safety. Rating Watch: a high-quality compounder, but the current valuation already prices in much of the good news. Philip Morris International Inc.PM · 米国株Tobacco2026年5月25日 43/100 53Buffett Watch Quanta Services: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective North America's leading grid and utility infrastructure contractor, benefiting from data centers, electricity load, and manufacturing reshoring; but at roughly 106x PE, 67x P/FCF, and 12x PB, the current price already discounts many years of high growth, a 90%-160% premium to fair value, with an ideal buy-in of $230-320. Quanta Services, Inc.PWR · 米国株Power Engineering2026年5月25日 44/100 38Buffett Watch RTX Corporation: A Long-Term Value Study A global aerospace and defense giant spanning aviation parts/systems, commercial aero-engines, and missiles/air defense, with a Q1 2026 backlog of $271 billion. At $177.01 and a 33.2x P/E, it is a good business at a full-to-rich price: the GTF powdered-metal event is still clearing and the margin of safety is insufficient. Rating Watch: worth respecting, but better to wait for a pullback. RTX CorporationRTX · 米国株Aerospace & Defense2026年5月25日 44/100 68Buffett Watch Charles Schwab: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective A platform with $12 trillion in client assets and genuine cost advantages. At $86, however, the stock trades at only a slight discount to a relatively neutral intrinsic value, while net interest margin is sensitive to interest rates and client-cash migration. Margin of safety is thin; rating: Watch. The Charles Schwab CorporationSCHW · 米国株Brokerage & Wealth Management2026年5月25日 41/100 35Buffett Watch The Southern Company: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective The Southeast's leading regulated utility, with 25 consecutive years of dividend increases; new Vogtle nuclear units entering rate base plus data-center load support mid-term growth, but 2026-2030 capital spending of $81 billion and heavy reliance on external financing, while the current PE of 20.8x and PB of 2.96x already embed a defensive-plus-growth premium, with an ideal buy at $60-72. The Southern CompanySO · 米国株Electric Utilities2026年5月25日 51/100 75Buffett Watch S&P Global: A Long-Term Owner's View An institutionalized intangible-asset earnings machine, with 2025 free cash flow of 5.135 billion dollars and capex at just 1.3% of revenue. At the current price of 417.60 dollars, roughly 26.4x trailing PE, it sits in the middle of its fair-value band, leaving an inadequate margin of safety. Rating Watch: a superb compounder whose quality is already priced in, so buying here means paying for long-term quality rather than buying an obvious bargain. S&P Global Inc.SPGI · 米国株Professional Information Services2026年5月25日 40/100 Watch Exxon Mobil Deep Value Analysis: A Good Asset, Not a Cheap One XOM is a standout in the oil and gas industry: real through-cycle resilience, an advantaged Permian/Guyana/LNG asset portfolio, and a 43-year dividend growth streak all hold up; but at $154 a share the price already sits near the upper edge of the model's optimistic range, and the 4.2% conservative owner earnings yield can't even beat the 10-year Treasury. Exxon Mobil CorporationXOM · 米国株Integrated Oil & Gas2026年5月25日 47/100 Watch Welltower: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective Welltower is a senior housing and healthcare real estate platform positioned for aging-driven demand. The core issue is valuation: at $216.17 and roughly 34x P/NFFO, the market has already paid for an optimistic long-term scenario, while the failed 2026 say-on-pay vote warrants governance monitoring. Research rating Watch: a high-quality compounder worth following, but current pricing leaves limited margin of safety. Welltower Inc.WELL · 米国株REITs2026年5月25日 49/100 95Buffett Watch Visa Inc. Long-Term Business Owner Research Visa is one of the world's strongest payment networks, with a 60% FY2025 operating margin and $21.5 billion of free cash flow. At the current price of $328.88, P/FCF is about 29x, leaving no obvious margin of safety. Report rating Watch: a rare-quality business that deserves long-term attention, but the current entry point looks more fair-to-slightly-expensive than clearly cheap. Visa Inc.V · 米国株FinTech2026年5月25日 43/100 77Buffett Watch Union Pacific: A Long-Term Owner's Perspective An irreplaceable rail network spanning two-thirds of the western United States, of exceptionally high quality; but at $265.88 the stock already sits well above fair value, and with the added uncertainty of the Norfolk Southern acquisition, the offer looks aggressive. Rating: Watch. Union Pacific CorporationUNP · 米国株Freight Railroads2026年5月25日